Update: How many Flex developers are there?

A month back, as a follow up to Yakov Fain’s estimate of How many Flex developers are there? … I had had tried to estimate How many of them are in India?. I find taking a guess on these numbers very interesting as these estimates give an idea of how Flex is is gaining popularity and how fast the developer network is growing. A month has passed since I first tried this and I now have a few new insights to share:

My recent project FlexBox in the one week since its launch has had 5500 unique visitors and with the help of Google Analytics I was able to see from where all these visitors were coming from (Awesome!!). Google Analytics has this very cool feature where you can see your visitors (divided in chunks of 500) overlay on a map. The picture looked almost the same with all the different chunks 1-500, 500-1000 … an so on … here’s what one of these subsets looked like:

People from about 80 different countries visited and the current percentage distribution of visitors for different countries is as below (only top 10 countries are shown). This distribution although has been fluctuating but it has more or less been constant over time.

I feel that 5500 is a big enough sample and based on the law of averages this distribution should hold good for the entire set of Flex developers out there.

Now if we presume that Yakov’s estimate of a total of approximately 70000 flex developers is correct then according to the above distribution the number of Flex developers in India should be (70000 x 0.0279) = 1953 developers. I, in my earlier post had estimated this number to be approximately 2200.